Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 5.495835 6.001275 6.568775 7.261318 8.095375 9.083671 10.369486
2025-01-05 4.794407 5.430781 6.196822 7.212475 8.567509 10.387713 13.174618
2025-01-12 4.193301 4.865948 5.714754 6.909200 8.633800 11.209916 15.822856
2025-01-19 3.719049 4.390483 5.267296 6.558156 8.543863 11.795700 18.582542
2025-01-26 3.563204 4.302337 5.312780 6.897136 9.574387 14.666141 28.956343
2025-02-02 3.533522 4.375877 5.589803 7.645048 11.578046 20.979535 71.404150
2025-02-09 3.409058 4.298877 5.631701 8.026117 13.115042 28.418723 364.404973
2025-02-16 3.271389 4.185430 5.598283 8.267724 14.514699 38.717458 NaN
2025-02-23 3.121823 4.037814 5.488095 8.339729 15.579698 52.012177 NaN
2025-03-02 2.919743 3.792079 5.185995 7.969889 15.277243 56.917384 NaN
2025-03-09 2.784746 3.640592 5.028428 7.871380 15.763808 73.004097 NaN
2025-03-16 2.619248 3.429926 4.749440 7.470137 15.135877 74.897342 NaN
2025-03-23 2.516500 3.325382 4.669278 7.543073 16.366669 133.020378 NaN
2025-03-30 2.410397 3.208442 4.556597 7.528285 17.373946 302.330585 NaN
2025-04-06 2.277999 3.040388 4.336318 7.225868 17.090970 500.736284 NaN
2025-04-13 2.149896 2.872487 4.103809 6.861975 16.394424 647.694387 NaN
2025-04-20 2.121009 2.866295 4.170324 7.242115 19.475401 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.134714 2.932121 4.382141 8.071226 26.980403 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.103947 2.918897 4.436960 8.499642 33.879426 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.061291 2.881456 4.437719 8.773406 41.280612 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 2.007578 2.820627 4.382746 8.857664 47.603181 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.923691 2.701072 4.192354 8.449466 44.616788 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.866321 2.626887 4.094692 8.342079 47.255229 NaN NaN